Have a reaction. Write, mope, or construct an argument here at the consent decree portal before the end of the day Friday, August 17. A longer version of this shortened draft available here. Data to support this at bottom of post and tabulated on my own spreadsheet based on these sources, which anyone is welcome to comment on or question. Occasionally, I’ll make small updates for greater accuracy. ARTICLE LAST UPDATED Aug 20, 2018 (Tweaked image above & two paragraphs below: “The Death Count” and “CPD are Average”) and Aug 22 (new graphics for “Odds of Being Killed Per Arrest: Chicago vs. Nationally).

MY OPEN LETTER TO CHICAGO:
Stripping Context from Media & Government Reports on Police Abuse a Likely Cause of More American and Chicago Bloodshed

Statistical-Based Evidence Undermines Consent Decree Logic that Throws Chicago Police Under the Bus

Go to page 19 of the PDF for the Center for Policing Equity’s conclusions on use of force disparities. Blacks receive slightly more use of force in all but one category: Lethal force.
Combined, the rate of all force (lethal and non-lethal) per arrest in 12 major municipalities is 3.6 per 100 (white) vs. 4.6 per 100 (black).
Full math at the bottom of this posting. But here are the basics. For Chicago, I divided the average annual instances of use of force over a 5-year period (3,662 for blacks, 379 for whites) with the arrests for the same period (92,328 for blacks, 11,541 for whites). The arrest percentage in 2009 and 2010 for blacks and whites are the same, 9% and 72% respectively. With those computations, the rate of all force (lethal and non-lethal) per arrest in Chicago is 3.3 per 100 (white) vs. 4.0 per 100 (black).
Chicago source data & national source data.
Source data (USA is average of Washington Post and Guardian data).
Accurate Chicago police and crime data, with healthy dose of cynicism, here on HeyJackass.com
Chicago Police Superintendent Eddie Johnson, Mayor Rahm Emanuel and Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan at a news conference July 27, 2018, announcing the release of the draft consent decree.
Scrubbed from Web, but The Wayback Machine archive has it here. I always find it funny they misspelled “Latino” as if they whipped this table up in a rush. Source: Chicago Police Department

“I have some doubts that the ACLU [ran all the corrections for stops and controls]. If there is supplemental information, say, in a CASE REPORT that would explain why someone is stopped, that would augment the information we have. I did hear from [CPD Spokesman] Martin Mulroney, who says racial profiling is strictly prohibited, but as far as the CONTACT CARD numbers and demographics, he said they closely mirror what’s called their CASE REPORTS. Like when someone calls in and they say ‘Someone is stealing a car, they look like this.’ That profile goes into their CASE REPORT. You can see on WBEZ.org [again, not anymore] that they’re very close to the percentages found in the CONTACT CARD”

What’s not shown in the media or government reports on Chicago policing: Crime victims by race, which are 71% non-white minority. (Source: CPD 2010 Annual Report)

“Courts interpreting the term “pattern or practice” in similar statutes have established that statistical evidence is not required. … Although a specific number of incidents and statistical evidence is not required, our investigation found that CPD officers use unnecessary and unreasonable force in violation of the Constitution with frequency, and that unconstitutional force has been historically tolerated by CPD.” — page 24 of the DOJ Report

The numbers here explain it all. Anyone is welcome to comment or add feedback.

Read Longer Version of This Essay Here

SOURCES HERE FOR THIS POST

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Writer. Researcher. Designer. Human seeking better outcomes for all. Empiricism, relevant facts, and logical arguments > simple narratives.

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David Shuey

Writer. Researcher. Designer. Human seeking better outcomes for all. Empiricism, relevant facts, and logical arguments > simple narratives.